Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valeri Nichushkin | 10 | 6 | 47 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 21.3 | 9.4 | 126 |
| Marcus Foligno | 13 | 7 | 46 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 28.3 | 13.3 | 112 |
| Erik Karlsson | 8 | 11 | 58 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 13.8 | 6.6 | 110 |
| Dylan Larkin | 15 | 14 | 78 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 19.2 | 9.7 | 99 |
| Ben Chiarot | 5 | 2 | 59 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 88 |
| Jared McCann | 12 | 5 | 62 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 19.4 | 10.4 | 86 |
| Torey Krug | 4 | 10 | 44 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 9.1 | 4.9 | 85 |
| Troy Terry | 18 | 12 | 74 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 24.3 | 13.5 | 80 |
| Ryan Johansen | 8 | 16 | 40 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 20.0 | 11.1 | 80 |
| Cale Makar | 13 | 13 | 64 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 20.3 | 11.4 | 78 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 9 | 7 | 40 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 22.5 | 13.0 | 73 |
| Filip Forsberg | 13 | 9 | 61 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 21.3 | 12.4 | 71 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 5 | 16 | 46 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 10.9 | 6.5 | 68 |
| Alexandre Texier | 9 | 7 | 48 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 18.8 | 11.2 | 67 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 6 | 12 | 62 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 9.7 | 5.8 | 66 |
| Tom Wilson | 9 | 15 | 48 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 18.8 | 11.4 | 64 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 6 | 12 | 69 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 63 |
| Jacob Trouba | 6 | 8 | 75 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 8.0 | 4.9 | 63 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 12 | 10 | 80 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 15.0 | 9.3 | 61 |
| Jordan Eberle | 12 | 9 | 56 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 21.4 | 13.3 | 61 |
| Brock Nelson | 10 | 3 | 46 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 21.7 | 13.5 | 61 |
| Anthony Duclair | 9 | 8 | 44 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 20.5 | 12.9 | 59 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 12 | 9 | 50 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 24.0 | 15.2 | 57 |
| Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
| Danton Heinen | 9 | 5 | 54 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 16.7 | 10.7 | 56 |
| Aleksander Barkov | 10 | 8 | 47 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 21.3 | 13.8 | 54 |
| Alex Killorn | 9 | 16 | 50 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 11.7 | 54 |
| Boone Jenner | 11 | 7 | 72 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 15.3 | 9.9 | 54 |
| Shea Theodore | 6 | 16 | 70 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 8.6 | 5.7 | 52 |
| Jonathan Marchessault | 14 | 7 | 85 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 16.5 | 10.9 | 51 |
| Joe Pavelski | 12 | 15 | 62 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 19.4 | 12.8 | 51 |
| Josh Manson | 3 | 3 | 43 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 51 |
| Craig Smith | 2 | 5 | 45 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 9.5 | -53 |
| Tanner Pearson | 4 | 8 | 77 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 11.1 | -53 |
| Marco Scandella | 1 | 5 | 43 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 5.1 | -54 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 3 | 21 | 66 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 9.8 | -54 |
| Dustin Brown | 4 | 8 | 92 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 9.7 | -55 |
| Trevor Moore | 2 | 4 | 52 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 8.8 | -56 |
| Brady Skjei | 1 | 6 | 57 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 4.1 | -57 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 9 | 41 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 5.7 | -58 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 16 | 45 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 5.2 | -58 |
| Jonathan Toews | 3 | 10 | 53 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 13.7 | -59 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 3 | 22 | 65 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 4.6 | 11.6 | -60 |
| Jason Zucker | 4 | 7 | 81 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 12.2 | -60 |
| Brent Burns | 2 | 15 | 77 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 6.6 | -61 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 1 | 5 | 49 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 5.3 | -62 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 1 | 14 | 63 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 4.2 | -62 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 3 | 77 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 7.2 | -64 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 2 | 5 | 84 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 6.7 | -65 |
| Jordan Staal | 2 | 6 | 52 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 11.2 | -66 |
| Ross Colton | 2 | 9 | 53 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 11.1 | -66 |
| Cole Caufield | 1 | 5 | 55 | 2.4 | 16.4 | 1.8 | 5.9 | -69 |
| Esa Lindell | 1 | 5 | 62 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 5.2 | -69 |
| Carl Hagelin | 1 | 4 | 43 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 7.7 | -70 |
| Kris Letang | 1 | 19 | 63 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 5.9 | -73 |
| Darnell Nurse | 1 | 12 | 86 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4.6 | -75 |
| Nick Ritchie | 1 | 7 | 44 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 9.0 | -75 |
| Thomas Chabot | 1 | 16 | 75 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 5.4 | -76 |
| Jakub Voracek | 1 | 21 | 49 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -77 |
| Joel Armia | 1 | 4 | 50 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -78 |
| Zach Parise | 1 | 5 | 41 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 11.4 | -79 |
| Erik Haula | 1 | 4 | 44 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 11.8 | -81 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 11 | 59 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 9.6 | -82 |
| Blake Wheeler | 1 | 16 | 55 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 10.6 | -83 |
| Alexander Radulov | 1 | 11 | 47 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 13.1 | -84 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 1 | 20 | 61 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 11.1 | -85 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 1 | 6 | 57 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 12.1 | -86 |
| Keith Yandle | 0 | 10 | 56 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Gustav Forsling | 0 | 13 | 45 | 1.9 | NA | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 15 | 66 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Tyler Myers | 0 | 9 | 50 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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