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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

January 12, 2022   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

PlayerGASS/GP3YS/GPSH%CSH%DEV
Marcus Foligno148481.51.429.213.4117
Valeri Nichushkin107502.51.820.09.3114
Torey Krug614581.92.710.35.0107
Devon Toews717482.22.314.67.3101
Jack Hughes911532.82.417.08.5100
Sean Kuraly56461.41.910.95.790
Ben Chiarot52591.91.98.54.588
Filip Forsberg1811762.94.123.712.687
Dylan Larkin1616902.83.717.89.784
Jesperi Kotkaniemi79431.32.016.39.179
Barclay Goodrow710441.21.215.98.978
Anthony Duclair1411602.12.623.313.376
Ryan Johansen1019511.51.619.611.176
Alexandre Texier118521.72.221.212.175
Troy Terry2214902.42.024.414.272
Sam Carrick82411.57.619.511.372
Jared McCann147792.72.317.710.569
Erik Karlsson814732.53.211.06.568
Cale Makar1618832.92.819.311.765
Vinnie Hinostroza79511.52.413.78.464
Drew Doughty414402.42.010.06.163
Brock Nelson103462.42.321.713.561
Tony DeAngelo618572.23.110.56.661
Brady Tkachuk1210823.23.714.69.357
Brandon Tanev96511.71.717.711.357
Vladislav Namestnikov108491.31.620.413.057
Brady Skjei58712.22.07.04.555
Gabriel Landeskog1421773.03.518.211.953
Boone Jenner148922.72.515.210.053
Ondrej Palat1515792.12.019.012.453
Erik Johnson510652.02.57.75.053
Mattias Janmark78411.21.517.111.252
Mark Pysyk16411.21.42.44.9-50
Elias Pettersson611772.22.87.815.9-51
Jonathan Toews412591.62.86.813.7-51
Jake Muzzin19411.22.12.44.9-51
Philipp Kurashev28471.61.34.38.9-52
Erik Haula37531.73.25.711.9-53
Nick Ritchie27481.52.34.29.1-54
Darnell Nurse212963.62.52.14.6-55
Travis Konecny514922.82.25.412.0-55
MacKenzie Weegar219862.42.02.35.2-55
Marco Scandella17461.31.52.25.1-57
Jason Zucker47812.72.54.912.2-60
Jamie Oleksiak110441.31.32.35.7-60
John Marino115401.11.32.56.4-61
Dominik Simon15401.42.22.56.5-62
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins323712.42.74.211.6-63
Nate Schmidt116521.62.01.95.2-63
Jaccob Slavin117672.02.01.54.1-64
John Klingberg116431.62.62.36.5-64
Jakob Chychrun25843.23.12.46.7-65
Oliver Ekman-Larsson24832.62.22.47.2-66
Jordan Staal28561.82.53.611.2-68
Esa Lindell15642.01.61.65.2-70
Noah Gregor15592.83.71.75.9-71
Cole Caufield16642.516.41.65.3-71
Jakob Silfverberg211752.32.52.79.5-72
Ryan Getzlaf221662.12.13.011.1-73
Thomas Chabot116782.72.81.35.4-76
Joel Armia14501.73.12.09.0-78
Nick Foligno15411.82.02.411.3-78
Kris Letang128852.73.31.25.8-80
Zach Parise15441.62.82.311.4-80
Jakub Voracek124601.82.31.79.0-81
Blake Wheeler116552.52.71.810.6-83
Alexander Radulov111481.53.82.113.1-84
Kyle Palmieri16572.32.81.812.1-86
Tyler Myers010541.52.00.06.4-100
Gustav Forsling018591.9NA0.03.8-100
Keith Yandle011641.82.10.04.3-100
Joonas Donskoi014401.21.70.011.4-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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