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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

March 26, 2025   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Colton Parayko 15 20 122 2.0 1.8 12.3 5.0 144
Jonny Brodzinski 9 7 55 1.3 3.5 16.4 7.9 107
Blake Lizotte 9 9 45 0.8 1.5 20.0 10.2 96
Jamie Drysdale 6 13 55 0.9 5.9 10.9 5.7 93
Jonathan Drouin 10 25 53 1.4 2.2 18.9 9.9 92
Aliaksei Protas 29 35 132 1.9 2.0 22.0 11.6 89
Tyler Seguin 9 11 43 2.3 2.7 20.9 11.2 87
Artturi Lehkonen 27 16 125 2.1 3.0 21.6 11.5 87
Joel Kiviranta 16 7 77 1.1 1.4 20.8 11.2 86
Mikhail Sergachev 13 32 112 1.7 2.4 11.6 6.3 84
Jake Evans 12 19 67 1.0 1.5 17.9 9.8 82
Valeri Nichushkin 19 11 89 2.6 4.3 21.4 11.9 79
James van Riemsdyk 14 16 71 1.1 2.4 19.7 12.0 65
Nate Schmidt 5 13 57 0.8 1.6 8.8 5.3 64
Tom Wilson 31 28 150 2.1 2.9 20.7 12.8 61
Anze Kopitar 18 39 86 1.2 2.1 20.9 13.2 59
Jonathan Huberdeau 27 30 136 1.9 2.1 19.9 12.7 56
Rickard Rakell 32 30 177 2.5 3.0 18.1 11.7 55
Frederick Gaudreau 16 16 98 1.4 1.8 16.3 10.6 54
Trevor Lewis 4 5 43 0.9 1.6 9.3 6.0 54
Cam Fowler 7 24 72 1.2 1.6 9.7 6.4 53
Ryan McLeod 17 26 79 1.2 1.5 21.5 14.1 53
Nick Paul 21 18 121 1.9 1.8 17.4 11.4 52
Jakob Chychrun 18 26 161 2.4 3.8 11.2 7.3 52
Rasmus Andersson 10 18 137 2.0 2.0 7.3 4.8 51
Dmitry Kulikov 4 9 62 0.9 1.1 6.5 4.3 50
Matt Duchene 27 44 132 1.9 2.7 20.5 13.6 50
David Savard 1 13 42 0.7 1.3 2.4 4.8 -50
Sam Lafferty 2 3 42 0.8 1.5 4.8 9.7 -51
Miles Wood 2 2 51 1.7 3.5 3.9 8.2 -52
Alexander Holtz 3 8 62 1.3 2.3 4.8 10.1 -52
Brent Burns 5 20 162 2.3 2.6 3.1 6.4 -52
Mattias Janmark 2 15 43 0.6 1.4 4.7 10.1 -54
Aaron Ekblad 3 30 106 1.9 3.6 2.8 6.6 -57
Ryan Suter 1 12 56 0.8 1.3 1.8 4.4 -59
Andrew Peeke 1 15 70 1.1 1.2 1.4 3.7 -61
Ty Dellandrea 1 6 41 0.7 1.5 2.4 6.9 -65
Tomas Nosek 1 8 40 0.8 1.5 2.5 7.4 -66
Carl Grundstrom 2 6 64 1.4 2.5 3.1 9.5 -67
Arber Xhekaj 1 5 68 1.0 2.4 1.5 4.4 -67
Connor Murphy 1 16 69 1.2 1.5 1.5 4.4 -67
Josh Manson 1 14 65 1.4 2.2 1.5 4.8 -68
Zemgus Girgensons 2 4 77 1.1 1.7 2.6 8.4 -69
Ryan Lomberg 1 7 54 0.8 1.6 1.9 7.3 -74
Jacob Trouba 1 13 100 1.4 2.4 1.0 4.3 -77
P.O Joseph 0 3 42 0.9 1.5 0.0 3.5 -100
Josh Mahura 0 8 54 0.9 1.5 0.0 4.2 -100
Connor Clifton 0 10 49 0.8 1.3 0.0 3.6 -100
Nils Lundkvist 0 5 52 1.3 1.9 0.0 3.6 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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